Nonparametric bayesian lifetime data analysis using dirichlet process lognormal mixture model

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian lifetime data analysis method using the Dirichlet process mixture model with a lognormal kernel. A simulation‐based algorithm that implements the Gibbs sampling is developed to fit the Dirichlet process lognormal mixture (DPLNM) model using rightly censored failure time data. Five examples are used to illustrate the proposed method, and the DPLNM model is compared to the Dirichlet process Weibull mixture (DPWM) model. Results indicate that the DPLNM model is capable of estimating different lifetime distributions. The DPLNM model outperforms the DPWM model in all the examples, and the DPLNM model shows promising potential to be applied to analyze failure time data when an appropriate parametric model for the data cannot be specified. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

党的群众路线在南梁革命根据地的光辉实践

以刘志丹、谢子长、习仲勋为代表的共产党人领导创建了以南梁为中心的陕甘边革命根据地。他们始终坚持把建立人民政权、维护人民群众利益作为革命的根本目的,坚定不移地走群众路线,坚持密切联系群众、关心群众疾苦、维护群众利益,充分相信群众、紧紧依靠群众,选举群众代表参与政府重要工作、参加政权建设和社会事务管理,形成了“只见公仆不见官”的和谐生动局面。在党的群众路线指引下,南梁革命根据地的广大人民群众义无反顾地参加革命、支持革命,支援、帮助各级党组织和人民军队开展革命斗争,为中国革命的胜利做出了重大贡献。     

Investigation of the shock compression behaviors of Al/PTFE composites with experimental and a 3D mesoscale-model

The responses of AI/PTFE reactive materials (RMs) under shock compression were investigated by a single-stage gas gun.A 3D mesoscale-model was established based on micro-computed tomography(micro-CT) slice images and confirmed with experimental results.In the high-pressure stage,the com-posites reacted partially,whereas there were no deviations between the partially reacted Hugoniot and the inert simulation results.The simulation reveals that the Teflon matrix melting on the high shock pressure.Melts and decomposition of the PTFE accelerated the diffusion of the atoms.Thus,the reactions of the Al/PrFE composites are more like a combustion rather than a detonation.     

基于DIFHA算子的动态直觉模糊多属性群决策方法

动态决策问题是现实中的一类常见问题。在提出动态直觉模糊混合平均(D IFHA)算子的基础之上,提供一种动态直觉模糊多属性群决策方法。该方法能同时考虑决策过程的阶段性和属性值位置对决策结果的影响,并较好地处理决策过程中的定性指标。分析和算例证实该方法的可行性和实用性。     

Analysis of a two-component series system with a geometric process model

In this article, a geometric process model is introduced for the analysis of a two-component series system with one repairman. For each component, the successive operating times form a decreasing geometric process with exponential distribution, whereas the consecutive repair times constitute an increasing geometric process with exponential distribution, but the replacement times form a renewal process with exponential distribution. By introducing two supplementary variables, a set of partial differential equations is derived. These equations can be solved analytically or numerically. Further, the availability and the rate of occurrence of failure of the system are also determined. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

美军用软件保障综合研究

本文主要叙述了美军用软件的维护与评估、软件保障组织和软件的保障方案及软件的保障研究与实践。     

基于LCC评估的武器装备定价决策支持系统

长期以来,我国在评价武器装备的质量时,往往只着眼于战术性能指标,强调武器装备的战斗效能,而对装备的费用问题未足够重视.在对我国军品价格管理现状分析的基础上,运用全寿命周期费用法对军机的寿命周期各个阶段的费用进行预算、细化、建立估算模型等,结合我国目前实现的合同制采办管理方法,设计一个基本的定价决策支持系统结构,通过合理分配各阶段的费用,有效地辅助军机的定价决策.     

某型工程车虚拟操作训练环境设计

采用基于Vega和Creator的虚拟现实仿真机制和人机交互设备，构建某型工程车训练仿真系统虚拟操作训练环境。根据位置跟踪传感器跟踪受训人员手的位置和姿态，使用数据手套获取受训人员手部各关节数据，驱动虚拟手实现人机交互，完成虚拟操作训练任务，并采用前馈神经网络模式识别法和空间位姿判别法，分别对静态手势和动态操作命令进行识别。     

效能准则及其选取原则探讨

对武器系统效能分析中一个十分重要的步骤──效能准则及其选取原则进行了探讨,分析了效能准则的多种具体形式,并提出了选取效能准则的几个原则,为效能分析的定性化阶段提供一些有益启示。